Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.059889 0.069730 0.080517 0.093199 0.107675 0.123662 0.142629
2025-03-16 0.044602 0.057422 0.072768 0.092399 0.116746 0.145840 0.183125
2025-03-23 0.036999 0.051972 0.071303 0.097867 0.133169 0.178182 0.239585
2025-03-30 0.030092 0.045756 0.067402 0.099104 0.143869 0.204248 0.291147
2025-04-06 0.024095 0.039438 0.062013 0.097052 0.149306 0.223410 0.335227
2025-04-13 0.019714 0.034541 0.057655 0.095472 0.154712 0.242553 0.380753
2025-04-20 0.017628 0.032794 0.057655 0.100230 0.169789 0.276914 0.451492
2025-04-27 0.015703 0.030916 0.057061 0.103783 0.183144 0.309690 0.522645
2025-05-04 0.013145 0.027423 0.053170 0.101193 0.185998 0.325968 0.569090
2025-05-11 0.011297 0.024889 0.050528 0.100289 0.191371 0.346519 0.623877
2025-05-18 0.009519 0.022150 0.047063 0.097350 0.192681 0.360129 0.667933
2025-05-25 0.008206 0.020111 0.044606 0.095903 0.196376 0.377943 0.720373
2025-06-01 0.007308 0.018833 0.043532 0.097110 0.205361 0.406306 0.794539
2025-06-08 0.006183 0.016819 0.040626 0.094236 0.206159 0.419851 0.843240
2025-06-15 0.005787 0.016464 0.041235 0.098751 0.222068 0.462941 0.949963
2025-06-22 0.005167 0.015426 0.040157 0.099474 0.230280 0.491967 1.032420
2025-06-29 0.004444 0.013964 0.037859 0.097160 0.231822 0.507991 1.090996
2025-07-06 0.003860 0.012748 0.035951 0.095456 0.234429 0.526261 1.155287
2025-07-13 0.003668 0.012613 0.036710 0.100149 0.251646 0.575778 1.285957
2025-07-20 0.003435 0.012306 0.036977 0.103666 0.266530 0.621550 1.412209
2025-07-27 0.002972 0.011183 0.034904 0.101062 0.266945 0.636558 1.475575
2025-08-03 0.002633 0.010379 0.033566 0.100152 0.271239 0.660239 1.558908
2025-08-10 0.002270 0.009400 0.031568 0.097213 0.270261 0.672121 1.617614